NFL 2016 Week 3 Predictions – Zoltar Likes Five Underdogs

Zoltar is my NFL prediction program. Here are Zoltar’s predictions for week 3 of the 2016 NFL season:

Zoltar:    patriots  by    6  dog =      texans    Vegas:      texans  by  2.5
Zoltar:      giants  by    2  dog =    redskins    Vegas:      giants  by  4.5
Zoltar:    panthers  by    6  dog =     vikings    Vegas:    panthers  by    7
Zoltar:     broncos  by    0  dog =     bengals    Vegas:     bengals  by    3
Zoltar:     raiders  by    0  dog =      titans    Vegas:      titans  by  1.5
Zoltar:   cardinals  by    4  dog =       bills    Vegas:   cardinals  by  4.5
Zoltar:      ravens  by    0  dog =     jaguars    Vegas:      ravens  by    0
Zoltar:    dolphins  by    6  dog =      browns    Vegas:    dolphins  by   10
Zoltar:     packers  by    6  dog =       lions    Vegas:     packers  by  7.5
Zoltar:    seahawks  by    6  dog = fortyniners    Vegas:    seahawks  by  9.5
Zoltar:  buccaneers  by    2  dog =        rams    Vegas:  buccaneers  by    5
Zoltar:      chiefs  by    4  dog =        jets    Vegas:      chiefs  by    3
Zoltar:       colts  by    6  dog =    chargers    Vegas:       colts  by    3
Zoltar:    steelers  by    0  dog =      eagles    Vegas:    steelers  by    4
Zoltar:     cowboys  by    2  dog =       bears    Vegas:     cowboys  by    7
Zoltar:     falcons  by    0  dog =      saints    Vegas:      saints  by    3

Zoltar theoretically recommends betting when the Vegas line is more than 3.0 points different from Zoltar’s prediction. So for week 3:

1. Zoltar recommends betting on the Vegas underdog Patriots over the Texans. Zoltar believes the Patriots will win outright and so the Texans won’t cover the 2.5 point spread.

2. Zoltar recommends betting on the Vegas underdog Browns against the favored Dolphins. Zoltar believes the Dolphins will win but won’t cover the 10.0 point spread.

3. Zoltar recommends betting on the Vegas underdog 49er against the Seahawks. Zoltar believes the Seahawks won’t cover their 9.5 point spread.

4. Zoltar recommends betting on the Vegas underdog Eagles against the Steelers. Zoltar thinks the Steelers won’t cover their 4.0 point spread.

5. Zoltar recommends betting on the Vegas underdog Bears against the Cowboys. Zoltar thinks the Cowboys won’t cover the 7.0 point spread.

In week 2, Zoltar went a pretty good 4-2 against the Vegas point spread. For the year, Zoltar is 6-3 against Vegas, for 67% accuracy.

Just for fun, I track how well Zoltar and Bing Predictions do when just trying to predict just which team will win a game. This isn’t useful except for parlay betting.

In week 2, Zoltar was a mediocre 10-6. Bing was 9-7.

For the season, just predicting winners, Zoltar is 19-13 (59% accuracy). Bing is 17-15 (53% accuracy).

Note: Zoltar sometimes predicts a 0-point margin of victory. In those situations, to pick a winner so I can compare against Bing, in the first four weeks of the season, Zoltar picks the home team to win. After week 4, Zoltar uses historical data for the current season.

zoltar_predicts_nfl

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